Friday, December 11, 2015

Trump - A possible future

Donald Trump can't win the election. EVERYONE says that. But, what if he did? Imagine this scenario.

Over the next few months, Trump continues to make abrasive and racist statements. He alienates many people, but he touches a nerve with a lot of the more xenophobic citizens in the country. However, the GOP begins to distance themselves from Trump, in an effort to hang on to moderate voters. At the GOP national convention, Trump gives his most inflammatory speech yet, inciting riots and hate crimes across the country. Nothing fires up a population like hate.

The GOP wisely admonishes Trump, and he completely loses support of the party. In the end, the GOP nominates Jeb Bush as their candidate. Meanwhile, the Democrats nominate Clinton, to the surprise of no-one. Predictably, many jokes are made referencing the 1992 Clinton/Bush race.
During the first Republican debate, Trump announced that he would still run as an independent if he did not win the nomination. True to his word, he announces that he was still going to run as such. The announcement is received with surprising amounts of support. The country is split almost evenly among all three candidates. Even then, nobody takes Trump seriously. The democrats attack Bush based on George Bush's policies, and the Republicans double down on attacking Clinton on her many issues. For the most part, they both largely ignore Trump. Trump, likewise, ignores them. Instead, he focuses on what's worked for him in the past – hatred. He continues to rave against Muslims, against hispanics, and expands his campaign to include a few other groups, including poor blacks, further igniting race issues.

Both the Clinton and Bush smear campaigns are incredibly effective. Few voters trust Clinton, and nobody wants a repeat of the bush years. Many decide to not vote at all, and 2016 proves to have the lowest voter turnout in history. The people that DO show up, though, are the people that are really fired up – namely, those who support Trump. Trump doesn't win the popular vote – barely getting 49% of the 20% turnout, but he wins enough to gain the Electoral votes to win the election. Trump is the 45th president of the United States.

In January, Trump wastes no time following through on his promises. Through an executive order, he suspends immigration of muslims or suspected muslims. He also initiates a program to secretly begins rounding up muslim citizens and placing them in internment camps. Over the next year, he continues to increase a message of hatred and distrust. He also solidifies his base in the administration. In January of 2017, he announces increased action in Syria, and calls for a full declaration of war. Maybe congress gives it to him, maybe they don't. In any case, He continues to glorify the American ideal, while at the same time further painting Islam as “the Great Enemy of America.” Additionally, Trump is extremely successful with his initiatives, and America is actually seeing successes that hasn't been seen since the 50s. People began talking about re-electing Trump for a second term.

In 2018, There's another terrorist attack on American soil. Trump chastises the Islam community. Muslim attacks increase at a staggering rate, and Trump begins to openly take Muslims into custody “for their own protection”. He feigns surprise at the attacks, but his message continues to encourage the hatred toward islam. In 2019, just as people begin talking about the next election, Trump instead declares martial law, and suspends elections indefinitely. There is some outcry, but they underestimate Trump's supporters. In 2020, The president of Mexico formerly announces they are closing their border, and begins arming the US border. Trump declares this as an act of war, and invades Mexico.

At this point, the rest of the world is in a crisis. Obviously, the outcry to the United State's actions is enormous, but there is little they can do. Still, NATO announces that the US membership has been revoked, and its members collectively declare war on the US, along with many other non-aligned countries. It's only a matter of time before the US is invaded.

Sure, it's not possible. Or, is it?